Mortgage approvals in the UK expected to increase in the next six months
Thursday, February 28th, 2008The recent Reuters poll has predicted that mortgage approvals in the UK are expected to increase by nearly 75,000 per month in around six months’ time in comparison with 83,000 in November, which has picked up to 85,000 by the end of 2007. However, analysts think there’s only a 15% of a U.S.-kind market correction happening here. That is in part owing to a shortage of supply - rather than too much of it - and in part since there’s no ‘subprime’ market here to unwind, barring perhaps some over-leverage in the ‘buy-to-let’ sector.
Policymakers are mindful of the impact of too many and too frequent interest rate cuts on property prices, more so in a nation where so many individuals are property-obsessed, so to say. Economists are divided on a perceived risk of cutting rates too aggressively re-stoking house prices. According to some experts, The Bank of England might tend to overestimate the deflationary impact of prevailing tightness in credit markets and end up cutting interest rates too far and too fast; few others tend to disagree. Previously, it only needed one interest rate cut in August 2005 in a narrowly-split decision during a period of sustained housing market cooling; it was off to the races in a very short time.

